Policy Brief

Cuba: Facts Beyond the Embargo Narrative

The Cuban government attributes its economic failures to the US embargo. The data tells a different story.

Summary of Findings

Select a row to view supporting data

Claim Evidence
"Cuba cannot trade" Cuba trades with 50+ countries. Total imports: $4.9B (2025)
"US blocks food access" $810M in US agricultural exports to Cuba (2025). Chicken freely available.
"Money cannot reach Cuba" $2–3 billion in remittances flow to Cuba annually
"Goods cannot be sent" Multiple services deliver food, medicine, and vehicles to Cuba
"Embargo causes food shortage" Farmers must sell 80% of crops to state at fixed prices. Food often rots uncollected.
"Embargo blocks economic growth" 125 private sector activities banned. 30% profit cap. Wholesale restricted to state.
"The US won't lift the embargo" US law defines exact conditions: free elections + release political prisoners = embargo ends.
Supporting Evidence

International Trade

$4.9 billion
Total Cuban imports, 2025

Cuba maintains active trade relationships with over 50 countries, including China, Spain, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Vietnam, Argentina, and Venezuela.

China
11.5%
Spain
10.1%
USA
4.6%
Argentina
3.5%
Mexico
3.5%
Brazil
3.4%
Germany
2.5%
Canada
1.9%

In 2025, Cuba joined China's Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS), further expanding its access to international financial networks.

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US Agricultural Exports to Cuba

$810.8 million
US goods exported to Cuba, 2025

Agricultural products are exempt from the embargo under the Trade Sanctions Reform and Export Enhancement Act of 2000. US exports to Cuba increased 38.6% from 2024.

Chicken meat accounts for 54% of all US exports to Cuba. Since 2001, Cuba has spent $7.88 billion on food imports from the United States.

"Cuba can buy all the chicken it wants from the U.S."
— Cuban Foreign Ministry (MINREX) official, August 2025

The primary constraint is financial: Cuba must pay cash in advance. This is a credit limitation, not a supply blockade. Cuba has access to the products but struggles with foreign currency reserves.

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Remittance Flows

$2–3 billion
Annual remittances to Cuba

Remittances constitute Cuba's third-largest source of foreign income, after service exports and tourism.

Over two-thirds of Cubans receive financial support from family members abroad. Average household income from remittances is approximately $2,200 per year.

The majority of remittances originate from the 1.3 million Cuban-Americans living in the United States, representing approximately 90% of the Cuban diaspora.

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Delivery Services to Cuba

Multiple commercial services deliver food, medicine, consumer goods, and vehicles to Cuba. These operations have functioned continuously for over 15 years.

Supermarket23
Food, meat, and medicine delivered in 3–10 days. Accepts international credit cards. Covers Havana, Santiago de Cuba, Holguín, and other cities.
Envíos23 / Shipping23
International shopping and shipping to Cuba. No minimum purchase or weight restrictions.
Vehicle Shipping
OFAC-authorized companies (Latin American Cargo, Crowley, All TransportDepot) ship vehicles from Miami to Mariel. Cost: $1,200–$3,500. Timeline: 4–8 weeks.
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State Control of Agriculture

80%
Crops farmers must sell to the state

Under the Acopio system, Cuban farmers are required to sell the majority of their harvest to the government at below-market prices. Private sales to non-state entities are prohibited by law (Decreto Ley 358/2018).

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Restrictions on Private Enterprise

125
Activities banned for private sector

Decree 107 (August 2024) expanded the list of economic activities prohibited for private businesses. The Cuban government has publicly characterized private enterprise as a "necessary evil."

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Demographic Consequences

1.79 million
Cubans who emigrated, 2021–2024

This represents 24% of the population in four years—a rate of decline typically observed only during wartime.

Cuba's population dropped from 11.3 million to approximately 8.6 million. Cuba is now the oldest country in Latin America, with a median age of 42.2 years.

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Comparative Case: The Jones Act

For context, the Jones Act's restrictions on Puerto Rico—a US territory—impose measurably greater economic costs than the Cuba embargo:

$1.4 billion
Annual cost to Puerto Rico's economy

This is equivalent to a 30.6% tariff on goods shipped from the US mainland.

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How the Embargo Ends: The Law's Own Conditions

The Cuban Liberty and Democratic Solidarity Act of 1996 (Helms-Burton Act) codified the embargo into US law—but it also defined exactly how it can be lifted. The law establishes a two-phase process with specific, measurable requirements.

22 U.S.C. § 6065–6066
Legal framework for embargo termination

Phase 1: Suspension (Transition Government)

The President may suspend the embargo upon determining that a "transition government" is in power. This government must:

Note: The law specifies that the transition government "does not include Fidel Castro or Raúl Castro."

Phase 2: Termination (Democratically Elected Government)

The President must terminate the embargo upon determining that a "democratically elected government" is in power. This requires:

"The embargo has its own expiration date built into the law. The Cuban government holds the key."

In other words: the same actions that would end the embargo—free elections, releasing political prisoners, allowing free enterprise, respecting human rights—are precisely the reforms that would address Cuba's actual economic problems. The Cuban government refuses to take these steps not because of the embargo, but because these reforms would end its monopoly on power.

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Conclusion

The US embargo serves as a convenient external explanation for Cuba's economic failures. However, the evidence demonstrates that Cuba maintains substantial international trade, receives billions in remittances, and has legal access to US agricultural products. The primary constraints on Cuban prosperity are internal: state monopolies on agricultural output, severe restrictions on private enterprise, and a command economy that has driven nearly a quarter of the population to emigrate in four years.

The path to ending the embargo is written into US law: release political prisoners, hold free elections, and respect human rights. These are the same reforms that would unleash Cuban prosperity. The Cuban government's refusal to take these steps reveals what the embargo narrative obscures: the regime prioritizes its own survival over the welfare of its people.